Polymarket bettors have wagered $1.3 million on a US recession by end of 2026, with odds at 30%. JPMorgan puts the ...

Investors have been receiving mixed signals from the market and the economy lately, making this a confusing time to plan for ...

Polymarket now sees a 28% chance of a U.S. recession by the end of 2026, as odds declined from an earlier high of ~40-45% to ...

Anthony Scaramucci asserts the US is already in a recession, citing Trump's policies and economic tensions as contributing ...

Recession fears are back, but the outlook is more complicated than a simple yes or no. Here’s what top economists, business ...

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met: 1. The seasonally adjusted annualized percent change in quarterly U.S. real GDP from the previous quarter is less than 0 ...

There's a term that keeps showing up in financial news, in economists' Twitter threads, and in worried conversations between ...

Recessions are not predictable with precision. But they are priceable, and at 40% to 50% probability, the risk deserves ...

With the S&P 500 already trading at a rich valuation, rising oil prices could trigger a sharp decline in the stock market.

Wall Street has been worried that cybersecurity will be replaced by AI, but Project Glasswing shows that fear is overblown.

A former Bank of Canada governor is predicting Canada has about a 30 per cent chance of falling into a recession, amid ...