US-Iran tensions escalate as peace deal odds decline. Permanent peace deal by April 30 at 2.1% YES, June 30 at 13.5% YES, and ...

The US-Israel military operation against Iran has disrupted supply chains and pushed WTI crude oil prices higher. The ...

US expert claims the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is successful, lowering the chance of lifting it by May 31 to 70.5% YES ...

SpaceX is filing alongside other large private companies like OpenAI and Anthropic that are also moving toward public listings. SpaceX’s filing during the Iranian conflict doesn’t suggest an ...

Iran’s Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has resigned from the negotiating team, per Israel’s N12 News. The ...

Lido said its EarnETH vault has 9% rsETH exposure after last week’s KelpDAO exploit, while core staking products remain ...

Iran's parliament speaker resigned amid calls for unity from President Pezeshkian. Regime fall by May 31 at 4.2% YES.

Trump posted on Truth Social calling WSJ’s Elliot Kaufman an “idiot” and “moron,” and the Polymarket contract on whether ...

Phillips 66 shipped Texas crude to an East Coast refiner using a Jones Act waiver. WTI Crude Oil at $160 in April now at 7% ...

Pentagon says clearing mines in the Strait of Hormuz will take six months, with oil at $95/barrel; WTI crude oil hitting $160 ...

US Energy Secretary calls Iran a long-term threat to energy supplies. No US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026 at 14.5% ...

An Israeli airstrike in southern Lebanon has reportedly violated the ongoing ceasefire, according to Lebanese sources, ...