Iran conflict drives US fuel prices up 35% and Myanmar up 101%. Crude oil all-time high by April 30 at 3.5% YES.

Al Jazeera reports Israel committed over 2,400 Gaza ceasefire violations. The Netanyahu out by June 30 market now sits at 6% ...

Bernie Sanders criticized Trump’s claim of an “airtight” blockade on Iran, pointing to ongoing Iranian naval operations. The ...

Bitcoin spot ETF flows turned positive in 2026, reaching $245 million by mid-April. The “Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April” ...

Hezbollah fired rockets into Galilee before White House talks, but markets remain unchanged with a ceasefire by June 30, 2026 ...

Intel's Q1 earnings beat expectations, challenging NVIDIA's dominance. NVIDIA largest by market cap on June 30 at 90% YES.

The White House accused Beijing of large-scale AI model theft, pushing odds of Trump visiting China by May 31 down to 76% YES ...

Trump hints at easing tensions with Iran, but oil markets remain skeptical. Crude oil all-time high by April 30 at 3.5% YES.

Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman called on Wall Street leaders to support proposed capital rules ...

Tehran activates air defenses amid conflict, raising ceasefire concerns. Iranian regime fall by June 30 at 8.5% YES.

BlackRock’s $900 million Bitcoin acquisition has moved prediction markets sharply. The odds of Bitcoin hitting $80,000 in ...

Trump remains firm on his Iran stance, delaying diplomacy. Diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30 at 2.6% YES.