Bitcoin’s price fell to $77,800 from $79,400 as traders took profits. The “Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?” market reflects ...

Gold faces a weekly loss amid US-Iran tensions and inflation worries. Gold hitting $8,000 by June at 3.5% YES.

Trump extended the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire by three weeks. Endorsement of an Israeli ceasefire by April 30 at 100% YES.

UN warns the US-Israel war on Iran may push 30 million into poverty. Iranian regime falling by June 30 at 8.5% YES.

Israel-Lebanon ceasefire collapsed without affecting Bitcoin markets. Bitcoin dipping to $60,000 in April at 1.2% YES.

Iran disrupts aluminum supply in the UAE and Bahrain, pushing prices above $3,500/tonne. Crude oil at $90 by June now at 61% ...

Vortexa’s report of 34 tanker movements, including Iranian crude shipments, has the “US escorts through Hormuz by April 30” ...

The U.S. has spent up to $35 billion in the Iran war, but a formal declaration of war by December 31 is now at just 7% YES.

US intercepted an Iranian ship carrying medical supplies. Odds of 80 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by April 30 at 4.5 ...

EU leaders have sealed a €90 billion loan to Ukraine at the Ayia Napa summit, and the Polymarket odds for a 50 basis point ...

Trump extended the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire to May 17. Endorsement of an Israeli ceasefire by April 30 at 100% YES.

Panama Canal prices reach record highs due to the Iran war disrupting shipping routes. Strait of Hormuz traffic normalization ...