Trump’s combative social media behavior is reportedly deterring Iran from engaging in more in-person peace negotiations with ...

OpenAI released GPT-5.5, and the Polymarket contract for GPT-5.5 release by June 30 is now at 100% YES. The market had been ...

Explosions over Tehran disrupt the ceasefire with Israeli drones. Iran striking Israel by April 30 is at 100% YES, while the ...

Strait of Hormuz closure raises energy security concerns, but WTI Crude Oil hitting $160 in April remains at just 1% YES.

US orders 4,300 JASSM-ER missiles amid ongoing Iran operations. Diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026 at 12.1% YES.

The Polymarket contract for UK military action against Iran ending by April 30 sits at 1.7% YES, up from 1% yesterday. There ...

Brent oil prices topped $105 amid unconfirmed reports of Iran's parliament speaker resigning. Crude oil all-time high by April 30 at 3.6% YES.

US oil prices surged above $98 as US-Iran peace talks stalled. Crude oil all-time high by April 30 at 3.6% YES.

Trump’s warning and the USS Bush’s arrival in the region have moved prediction markets. The probability of the Iranian regime ...

Lummis announced bipartisan support for the CLARITY Act, boosting confidence in crypto legislation. XRP above $0.90 on April ...

The July 2026 Fed decision market is less affected so far, priced at 82.5% YES for no rate change. Volume sits at $29,083 in USDC traded, and it takes $4,043 to move the market 5 percentage points, ...

Bitcoin's Coinbase premium remains positive for 14 days amid eased US-Iran tensions. Bitcoin reaching $88,000 by April 26 at 1% YES.